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Thu, 29 Oct 2026
BreakingMacro

Fed holds rates at 3.75%-4% as two policymakers dissent in favour of a hike

The 10-2 vote on 28 October came six weeks after a quarter-point rise. Lisa D. Cook and Beth M. Hammack wanted another; the statement gives no reason and does not say if further moves are likely.

The Federal Reserve left US interest rates unchanged on 28 October 2026, six weeks after raising them, but two of the 12 voters wanted to go further. The Federal Open Market Committee kept the federal funds rate's target range at 3-3/4 to 4 percent by a 10-2 vote, according to its statement, released at 2:00 p.m. EDT (19:00 CET). Fed Governor Lisa D. Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth M. Hammack voted against, preferring an immediate rise of 1/4 percentage point.

Key factsas of 28 October 2026
  • Federal funds target range3.75-4 % Held; raised on 16 September
  • FOMC vote10-2 Two dissents for a 0.25-point hike
  • Interest on reserve balances3.90 % Maintained, effective 29 October
  • Primary credit (discount) rate4.0 % Kept at existing level
  • Next FOMC meeting8-9 December 2026 With economic projections
What changed
Items16 September statement28 October statement
DecisionRange raised 0.25 point to 3.75%-4%Range held at 3.75%-4%
Vote12-010-2, two votes for a hike
Economic activityExpanding at a solid paceExpanding at a strong pace
Route back to 2% inflationRate rise to speed the returnMore information to guide policy

The October statement says activity is expanding at a "strong pace", where the September statement said a "solid pace", and repeats that inflation "remains elevated". Both describe productivity growth as strong, job gains as keeping pace with the workforce and unemployment as little changed. In September, the committee said its rate rise would help bring inflation back to its 2 percent goal sooner. The October statement drops that line and says that gathering more information will help it judge what policy stance will return inflation to 2 percent in a timely way. It does not say whether further moves are likely and gives no reason for the two dissents.

The FOMC's last three decisions
MeetingDecisionTarget rangeVoteDissents
29 July 2026Hold3.50%-3.75%9-3Hammack, Kashkari, Logan (for a 0.25-point hike)
16 September 2026Raise 0.25 point3.75%-4%12-0None
28 October 2026Hold3.75%-4%10-2Cook, Hammack (for a 0.25-point hike)

Source: Federal Reserve FOMC statements, July, September and October 2026, 28 October 2026.

Hammack also dissented at the July meeting, when the committee held the range at 3.5% to 3.75% by 9 votes to 3; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Dallas Fed President Lorie K. Logan joined her then in preferring a quarter-point rise.

In the implementation note, the Board of Governors voted unanimously to keep interest on reserve balances at 3.90 percent from 29 October and to set the primary credit rate at its existing 4.0 percent. The committee directed the New York Fed's Open Market Desk to run standing overnight repo operations at 4.0 percent and reverse repo operations at 3.75 percent, with a limit of $160bn per counterparty per day. It also told the desk to keep rolling over maturing Treasury principal at auction and to put principal from agency securities into Treasury bills. No economic projections were published at this meeting.

Sources
  1. Federal Reserve: FOMC statement, 28 October 2026, 28 Oct 2026, 19:00 CET
  2. Federal Reserve: Implementation Note, 28 October 2026, 28 Oct 2026, 19:00 CET
  3. Federal Reserve: FOMC statement, 16 September 2026, 16 Sept 2026, 20:00 CEST
  4. Federal Reserve: FOMC statement, 29 July 2026, 29 Jul 2026, 20:00 CEST
  5. Federal Reserve: FOMC meeting calendars
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